Abilene Christian
W-L: ( 9-12) PR = 93.6266Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 217 H Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 3- 8 227 H Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 4- 5 228 H Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 12-11 301 H Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 0- 2 303 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 6- 2 306 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 4- 3 307 H Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 6- 8 308 H Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 4- 1 313 H Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 0- 3 314 H Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 11- 5 315 H Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 22-11 331 A Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 4-15 407 H TCU B12 (32-21, 95.9) 4- 1 417 A Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 3-13 418 A Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 8- 4 419 A Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 4- 5 422 H Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 1- 9 428 H Dallas Baptist 4-16 520 A Sacramento State BS (12-18, 94.9) 4- 9 520 H UT Arlington WAC (11-14, 93.4) 5- 3 521 A Utah Tech WAC (12-10, 93.3) 5- 6
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
217 H Texas A&M 3- 8 -5 -5 -0.31
227 H Texas State 4- 5 -1 -1 -0.29
228 H Creighton 12-11 1 0 1.11
301 H Alabama 0- 2 -2 -3 0.78
303 H Louisiana Tech 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.36
306 A Louisiana Tech 4- 3 1 -2 + 2.71
307 H Rice 6- 8 -2 0 -1.97
308 H Rice 4- 1 3 0 + 3.03
313 H Loyola Marymount 0- 3 -3 3 --- -6.34
314 H Loyola Marymount 11- 5 6 3 + 2.66
315 H Loyola Marymount 22-11 11 3 +++ 7.66
331 A Texas Tech 4-15 -11 -3 --- -8.16
407 H TCU 4- 1 3 -2 ++ 4.62
417 A Indiana 3-13 -10 -2 --- -7.89
418 A Indiana 8- 4 4 -2 +++ 6.11
419 A Indiana 4- 5 -1 -2 1.11
422 H Texas Tech 1- 9 -8 -1 --- -6.51
520 A Sacramento State 4- 9 -5 -2 - -3.08
520 H UT Arlington 5- 3 2 1 1.09
521 A Utah Tech 5- 6 -1 0 -0.70
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 H Loyola Marymount 0- 3 -3 3 --- -6.34 331 A Texas Tech 4-15 -11 -3 --- -8.16 417 A Indiana 3-13 -10 -2 --- -7.89 422 H Texas Tech 1- 9 -8 -1 --- -6.51 520 A Sacramento State 4- 9 -5 -2 - -3.08 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 315 H Loyola Marymount 22-11 11 3 +++ 7.66 418 A Indiana 8- 4 4 -2 +++ 6.11 303 H Louisiana Tech 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.36 407 H TCU 4- 1 3 -2 ++ 4.62 306 A Louisiana Tech 4- 3 1 -2 + 2.71 308 H Rice 4- 1 3 0 + 3.03 314 H Loyola Marymount 11- 5 6 3 + 2.66 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 3- 8 -0.91 17.52 -0.68 1.45 -1.14
3 H Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 4- 5 -4.88 13.54 -0.68 1.45 -4.02
3 H Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 12-11 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 1.45 35.47
3 H Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 0- 2 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 1.45 -2.53
3 H Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 6- 2 -5.24 13.19 -0.68 1.45 36.19
3 A Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 4- 3 -5.24 13.19 0.68 1.45 40.10
3 H Rice (31-26, 94.3) 6- 8 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 1.45 -4.51
3 H Rice (31-26, 94.3) 4- 1 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 1.45 35.23
3 H Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 0- 3 -8.93 9.49 -0.68 1.45 -6.95
3 H Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 11- 5 -8.93 9.49 -0.68 1.45 25.50
3 H Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 22-11 -8.93 9.49 -0.68 1.45 25.50
3 A Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 4-15 -4.11 14.32 0.68 1.45 -2.48
3 H TCU (32-21, 95.9) 4- 1 -3.97 14.45 -0.68 1.45 39.85
3 A Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 3-13 -4.84 13.58 0.68 1.45 -3.01
3 A Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 8- 4 -4.84 13.58 0.68 1.45 41.24
3 A Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 4- 5 -4.84 13.58 0.68 1.45 -3.01
3 H Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 1- 9 -4.11 14.32 -0.68 1.45 -3.46
3 A Sacramento Sta (12-18, 94.9) 4- 9 -5.03 13.39 0.68 1.45 -3.15
3 H UT Arlington (11-14, 93.4) 5- 3 -6.51 11.92 -0.68 1.45 32.51
3 A Utah Tech (12-10, 93.3) 5- 6 -6.65 11.78 0.68 1.45 -4.32
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273.00
|
winning pts = 311.5855 losing points = -38.5860
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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